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Milton Keynes Dons v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Sat 18 Oct, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Milton Keynes Dons to win 43%
Milton Keynes 43% Draw 27% Crewe 30%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price2.34 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Milton Keynes Dons All games W
4–0 at BRR
Crewe Alexandra All games W L
2–1 at HAT 0–1 v BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 1 of Crewe Alexandra's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMilton KeynesDrawCrewe
WilliamHill 1.95 3.25 3.80
Ladbrokes 1.91 3.40 4.20
bet365 1.90 3.25 4.20
Marathonbet 1.86 3.48 3.94
Betfair 1.80 3.25 3.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Milton Keynes Dons v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Milton Keynes Dons hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Saturday 18 October and won 3–1.

Milton Keynes Dons are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 4 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win away at Bristol Rovers.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Bromley.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Milton Keynes, 3.48 for the draw and 4.20 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.34. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.