How we got to 39%
Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed
37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded
42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away
—
Blended chanceOxford United to win
39%
Form
Last 5, oldest first
Oxford United
All games
No recent results yet.
Derby County
All games
No recent results yet.
Both teams to score
Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49%
Match result odds
GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOxfordDrawDerby
WilliamHill
2.60
2.90
2.80
bet365
2.55
3.10
2.90
Marathonbet
2.52
3.08
2.86
Ladbrokes
2.50
3.10
2.87
Betfair
2.40
2.90
2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.
Oxford United v Derby County: prediction and result
Oxford United hosted Derby County in the Championship on Saturday 18 October and won 1–0.
The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.60 for Oxford, 3.10 for the draw and 2.90 for Derby. The bookmakers see little between Oxford United and Derby County here.
Our prediction: Oxford United to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.60 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.59, so there is value in it. The pick won.
More Championship predictions
All Championship picks that week →
2–1 FT
Middlesbrough v Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough to win
38%
0–0 FT
Southampton v Swansea City
Southampton to win
42%
1–2 FT
Queens Park Rangers v Millwall
Queens Park Rangers to win
36%
2–0 FT
Coventry City v Blackburn Rovers
Coventry City to win
59%
2–3 FT
Birmingham City v Hull City
Birmingham City to win
57%
2–1 FT
Charlton Athletic v Sheffield Wednesday
Charlton Athletic to win
55%
2–1 FT
West Bromwich Albion v Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion to win
52%
1–0 FT
Sheffield United v Watford
Sheffield United to win
46%
Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.