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Shrewsbury Town v Crawley Town prediction

Sat 18 Oct, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Shrewsbury Town to win 41%
Shrewsbury 41% Draw 27% Crawley 32%
Best price2.30 Ladbrokes Fair price2.43 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceShrewsbury Town to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Shrewsbury Town All games W
2–0 v CMU
Crawley Town All games D
1–1 v WSL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 0 of Shrewsbury Town's last 1 home games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerShrewsburyDrawCrawley
Ladbrokes 2.30 3.40 2.90
WilliamHill 2.25 3.30 3.00
Marathonbet 2.24 3.35 2.99
bet365 2.20 3.20 3.20
Betfair 2.00 3.25 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Shrewsbury Town v Crawley Town: prediction and result

Shrewsbury Town hosted Crawley Town in the League Two on Saturday 18 October and won 1–0.

Shrewsbury Town are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 2 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Cambridge United.

Crawley Town are in mixed form: 0 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 1 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Walsall.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Shrewsbury, 3.40 for the draw and 3.20 for Crawley. The bookmakers make Shrewsbury Town favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Shrewsbury Town to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.30 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.43. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.