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Wigan Athletic v Port Vale prediction

Sat 18 Oct, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Port Vale to win 38%
Wigan 33% Draw 28% Port Vale 38%
Best price3.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.62 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 29%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePort Vale to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wigan Athletic All games L
0–1 v WYC
Port Vale All games D
1–1 at AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 0 of Wigan Athletic's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Port Vale's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWiganDrawPort Vale
Ladbrokes 2.30 3.20 3.10
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.25
Marathonbet 2.29 3.14 3.15
Betfair 2.25 3.00 3.00
bet365 2.25 3.10 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wigan Athletic v Port Vale: prediction and result

Wigan Athletic hosted Port Vale in the League One on Saturday 18 October and won 1–0.

Wigan Athletic are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 0 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Wycombe Wanderers.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 0 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 1 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Wigan, 3.20 for the draw and 3.25 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Wigan Athletic favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Port Vale to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 29% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 3.25 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.62, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.