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Newport County v Walsall prediction

Sat 8 Nov, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Walsall to win 53%
Newport 21% Draw 25% Walsall 53%
Best price1.91 Ladbrokes Fair price1.87 from our 53%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 59%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWalsall to win 53%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games W L W
1–0 at ACC 0–2 v CTT 3–0 at HAT
Walsall All games D L L
1–1 at CRT 1–2 v BRW 0–1 at CTT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 0 of Newport County's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Walsall's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawWalsall
Marathonbet 4.20 3.38 1.84
Ladbrokes 4.00 3.50 1.91
Betfair 4.00 3.50 1.75
bet365 4.00 3.40 1.90
WilliamHill 4.00 3.20 1.91
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Walsall: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Walsall in the League Two on Saturday 8 November, and Walsall won 2–4 away from home.

Newport County are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 6 points from a possible 9. They have scored 4 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Harrogate Town.

Walsall are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 1 points from a possible 9. They have scored 2 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Cheltenham Town.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 4.20 for Newport, 3.50 for the draw and 1.91 for Walsall. The bookmakers make Walsall favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Walsall to win, with a 53% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 59%, and blending those with recent form gives 53%. The best price, 1.91 at Ladbrokes, is longer than our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.