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Accrington Stanley v Bristol Rovers prediction

Sat 15 Nov, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Accrington Stanley to win 40%
Accrington 40% Draw 28% Bristol 32%
Best price2.45 Betfair Fair price2.50 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAccrington Stanley to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games L W L D D
0–1 v NPT 4–0 v SWI 1–2 at FLT 1–1 v TRR 3–3 at CST
Bristol Rovers All games L L L L
0–4 v MKD 1–4 v TRR 0–4 at CRT 0–1 v GLG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 1 of Accrington Stanley's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Bristol Rovers's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawBristol
Betfair 2.45 3.30 2.88
Marathonbet 2.34 3.16 2.98
Ladbrokes 2.30 3.40 3.00
WilliamHill 2.30 3.10 2.90
bet365 2.25 3.20 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Bristol Rovers: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Saturday 15 November and won 3–1.

Accrington Stanley are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw away at Chesterfield.

Bristol Rovers are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 4, 0 points from a possible 12. They have scored 1 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Gillingham.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Accrington, 3.40 for the draw and 3.10 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Accrington Stanley favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Accrington Stanley to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.45 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.50. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.