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Burton Albion v Blackpool prediction

Sat 15 Nov, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Burton Albion to win 40%
Burton 40% Draw 26% Blackpool 33%
Best price2.25 Marathonbet Fair price2.47 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBurton Albion to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion All games W L W D W
3–0 v BOL 0–1 v PTU 1–0 at AWM 2–2 at RTU 2–1 at BDC
Blackpool All games L D W W
0–1 at STO 1–1 v WYC 2–1 at PTU 3–1 v CDF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 0 of Burton Albion's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Blackpool's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurtonDrawBlackpool
Marathonbet 2.25 3.44 2.97
Ladbrokes 2.25 3.50 3.00
WilliamHill 2.20 3.30 3.00
Betfair 2.15 3.25 2.90
bet365 2.15 3.50 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burton Albion v Blackpool: prediction and result

Burton Albion hosted Blackpool in the League One on Saturday 15 November and won 1–0.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Bradford City.

Blackpool are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 7 points from a possible 12. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Cardiff City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Burton, 3.50 for the draw and 3.10 for Blackpool. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Burton Albion to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.25 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 2.47. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.