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Bristol Rovers v Notts County prediction

Sat 29 Nov, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Notts County to win 39%
Bristol 33% Draw 27% Notts 39%
Best price2.55 bet365 Fair price2.54 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol Rovers All games L L L L L
1–4 v TRR 0–4 at CRT 0–1 v GLG 1–3 at ACC 0–1 at CTT
Notts County All games D W W D L
2–2 at SWI 2–0 v CMU 2–1 at CTT 1–1 v HAT 1–3 v CLU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 1 of Bristol Rovers's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawNotts
WilliamHill 2.80 3.10 2.50
bet365 2.80 3.20 2.55
Betfair 2.70 3.00 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol Rovers v Notts County: prediction and result

Bristol Rovers hosted Notts County in the League Two on Saturday 29 November, and Notts County won 0–1 away from home.

Bristol Rovers are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Cheltenham Town.

Notts County are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Colchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Bristol, 3.20 for the draw and 2.55 for Notts. The bookmakers see little between Notts County and Bristol Rovers here.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.55 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.54, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.