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Plymouth Argyle v Northampton Town prediction

Sat 29 Nov, 15:00 League One Full time 0–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Plymouth Argyle to win 47%
Plymouth 47% Draw 27% Northampton 27%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.14 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games L L L L W
1–2 v AWM 0–2 at EXE 0–2 at MAN 1–3 at HDD 1–0 at PTV
Northampton Town All games W L L W L
2–1 at DNR 0–1 at RDG 0–1 v LUT 2–1 v MAN 1–3 v CDF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 1 of Plymouth Argyle's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Northampton Town's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawNorthampton
WilliamHill 2.00 3.25 3.60
bet365 2.00 3.20 3.75
Betfair 1.90 3.25 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Northampton Town: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Saturday 29 November, and Northampton Town won 0–3 away from home.

Plymouth Argyle are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Port Vale.

Northampton Town are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Cardiff City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Plymouth, 3.25 for the draw and 3.75 for Northampton. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.14. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.