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Notts County v Milton Keynes Dons prediction

Tue 9 Dec, 19:45 League Two Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Notts County to win 37%
Notts 37% Draw 28% Milton Keynes 36%
Best price2.80 WilliamHill Fair price2.72 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 33%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games W W D L W
2–0 v CMU 2–1 at CTT 1–1 v HAT 1–3 v CLU 1–0 at BRR
Milton Keynes Dons All games L D W D W
1–2 at BMY 2–2 at BNT 2–0 v SAL 2–2 at TRR 2–1 v FLT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawMilton Keynes
WilliamHill 2.80 3.10 2.40
bet365 2.80 3.30 2.40
Betfair 2.70 3.00 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Milton Keynes Dons in the League Two on Tuesday 9 December and won 3–2.

Notts County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Bristol Rovers.

Milton Keynes Dons are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Fleetwood Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Notts, 3.30 for the draw and 2.40 for Milton Keynes. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 33% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.80 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.72, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.