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Charlton Athletic v Derby County prediction

Tue 20 Jan, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Charlton Athletic to win 37%
Charlton 37% Draw 30% Derby 33%
Best price2.62 WilliamHill Fair price2.69 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCharlton Athletic to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Charlton Athletic All games L L D D W
0–1 at NOR 1–2 at PTM 1–1 v CVC 2–2 at BBR 1–0 v SHU
Derby County All games D L W L W
1–1 at BRC 1–2 at LEI 1–0 v MID 1–2 v WXH 1–0 at PNE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Charlton Athletic's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Derby County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCharltonDrawDerby
WilliamHill 2.62 2.90 2.75
Betfair 2.55 3.00 3.00
bet365 2.55 3.00 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Charlton Athletic v Derby County: prediction and result

Charlton Athletic hosted Derby County in the Championship on Tuesday 20 January, and Derby County won 1–2 away from home.

Charlton Athletic are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Sheffield United.

Derby County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Preston North End.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.62 for Charlton, 3.00 for the draw and 3.00 for Derby. The bookmakers see little between Charlton Athletic and the draw here.

Our prediction: Charlton Athletic to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.69. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.