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Bolton Wanderers v Burton Albion prediction

Tue 27 Jan, 19:45 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bolton Wanderers to win 63%
Bolton 63% Draw 22% Burton 15%
Best price1.48 bet365 Fair price1.58 from our 63%

How we got to 63%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 63%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 64%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 63%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bolton Wanderers All games D L W D W
0–0 v NHT 1–3 at PTU 1–0 at WIG 0–0 at STV 2–1 v LEY
Burton Albion All games L L L W L
0–2 v WIG 0–2 at RDG 0–3 at PLA 3–1 v HDD 1–2 at LNC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 3 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Burton Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBoltonDrawBurton
bet365 1.48 3.80 6.50
Betfair 1.47 4.20 6.50
WilliamHill 1.44 4.00 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bolton Wanderers v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Bolton Wanderers hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Tuesday 27 January and won 2–1.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Leyton Orient.

Burton Albion are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Lincoln City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.48 for Bolton, 4.20 for the draw and 6.50 for Burton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 63% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 63% chance. The market puts it at 63% and our match model at 64%, and blending those with recent form gives 63%. The best price, 1.48 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.58. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.