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Hull City v Derby County prediction

Tue 24 Feb, 19:45 Championship Full time 4–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Hull City to win 38%
Hull 38% Draw 27% Derby 35%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.62 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 33%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceHull City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Hull City All games W W D L L
2–1 v SWA 1–0 at BBR 0–0 v WAT 2–3 v BSC 1–3 v QPR
Derby County All games D W L W L
1–1 v WBA 5–0 at BSC 1–2 v IPS 2–0 v SWA 0–2 at WAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Hull City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Derby County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerHullDrawDerby
WilliamHill 2.25 3.30 3.00
Betfair 2.25 3.20 3.00
bet365 2.25 3.40 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Hull City v Derby County: prediction and result

Hull City hosted Derby County in the Championship on Tuesday 24 February and won 4–2.

Hull City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Queens Park Rangers.

Derby County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Watford.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Hull, 3.40 for the draw and 3.10 for Derby. The bookmakers make Hull City favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Hull City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 33%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.62. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.