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Grimsby Town v Salford City prediction

Tue 3 Mar, 19:45 League Two Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Grimsby Town to win 41%
Grimsby 41% Draw 27% Salford 32%
Best price2.35 bet365 Fair price2.42 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGrimsby Town to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Grimsby Town All games D W D L W
0–0 at NPT 1–0 v ACC 2–2 v WSL 1–3 at BRR 1–0 at NOT
Salford City All games L L L L W
0–1 at ACC 1–3 v NPT 2–3 at CTT 1–2 v SHT 1–0 at CLU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Grimsby Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Salford City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGrimsbyDrawSalford
bet365 2.35 3.30 2.90
WilliamHill 2.30 3.25 2.88
Betfair 2.20 3.25 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Grimsby Town v Salford City: prediction and result

Grimsby Town hosted Salford City in the League Two on Tuesday 3 March and won 3–1.

Grimsby Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Notts County.

Salford City are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Colchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.35 for Grimsby, 3.30 for the draw and 3.00 for Salford. The bookmakers make Grimsby Town favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Grimsby Town to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.35 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.42. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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0–0 FT Bromley v Oldham Athletic Bromley to win 44% 3–0 FT Chesterfield v Colchester United Chesterfield to win 42% 0–1 FT Walsall v Fleetwood Town Walsall to win 36% 3–1 FT Newport County v Tranmere Rovers Newport County to win 36% 2–2 FT Cheltenham Town v Barrow Cheltenham Town to win 42% 1–1 FT Grimsby Town v Bromley Grimsby Town to win 44% 2–0 FT Salford City v Barnet Barnet to win 37% 4–1 FT Milton Keynes Dons v Harrogate Town Milton Keynes Dons to win 63%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.