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Gillingham v Milton Keynes Dons prediction

Tue 10 Mar, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–5
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Milton Keynes Dons to win 44%
Gillingham 28% Draw 28% Milton Keynes 44%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.25 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Gillingham All games L L L W D
0–1 at CAX 0–1 at CST 0–3 v OAT 1–0 at BRW 1–1 v FLT
Milton Keynes Dons All games W D W D W
1–0 v NPT 0–0 v CRT 2–0 at WSL 1–1 at CMU 4–1 v HAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 5 of Gillingham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGillinghamDrawMilton Keynes
Betfair 3.70 3.30 2.00
bet365 3.70 3.30 2.00
WilliamHill 3.40 3.25 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Gillingham v Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and result

Gillingham hosted Milton Keynes Dons in the League Two on Tuesday 10 March, and Milton Keynes Dons won 1–5 away from home.

Gillingham are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Fleetwood Town.

Milton Keynes Dons are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to Harrogate Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.70 for Gillingham, 3.30 for the draw and 2.05 for Milton Keynes. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.25. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.