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Accrington Stanley v Notts County prediction

Tue 17 Mar, 19:45 League Two Full time 0–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Notts County to win 47%
Accrington 25% Draw 28% Notts 47%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.12 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games L L L D D
0–2 v SHT 0–1 v BNT 1–2 at BMY 1–1 v CMU 0–0 at BRW
Notts County All games L W L W L
0–1 at SHT 5–0 v TRR 0–1 v GBT 2–1 at WSL 2–3 v CST

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Notts County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawNotts
Betfair 4.20 3.30 1.91
bet365 4.20 3.25 1.85
WilliamHill 3.90 3.10 1.91
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Notts County: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Notts County in the League Two on Tuesday 17 March, and Notts County won 0–4 away from home.

Accrington Stanley are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Barrow.

Notts County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Chesterfield.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.20 for Accrington, 3.30 for the draw and 1.91 for Notts. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.12. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.