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Middlesbrough v Millwall prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Middlesbrough to win 51%
Middlesbrough 51% Draw 25% Millwall 24%
Best price1.75 bet365 Fair price1.95 from our 51%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Middlesbrough All games W W L D D
3–1 at BRC 4–0 at QPR 0–1 v CHA 1–1 v BSC 0–0 at BBR
Millwall All games W W W L D
2–0 at PNE 3–1 at HUL 1–0 v DRB 1–2 v BBR 1–1 at IPS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Middlesbrough's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Millwall's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
bet365 1.75 3.80 4.33
WilliamHill 1.73 3.70 4.40
Betfair 1.73 3.75 4.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Middlesbrough v Millwall: prediction and result

Middlesbrough hosted Millwall in the Championship on Friday 3 April, and Millwall won 1–2 away from home.

Middlesbrough are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Blackburn Rovers.

Millwall are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Ipswich Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Middlesbrough, 3.80 for the draw and 4.50 for Millwall. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.75 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.95. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.