How we got to 60%
Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed
61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded
58%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away
—
Blended chanceAston Villa to win
60%
Form
Last 5, oldest first
Aston Villa
All games
No recent results yet.
Burnley
All games
No recent results yet.
Both teams to score
Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50%
Match result odds
GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAston VillaDrawBurnley
Marathonbet
1.57
4.15
6.30
Ladbrokes
1.57
3.90
5.75
WilliamHill
1.55
3.90
6.00
bet365
1.53
4.10
6.25
Betfair
1.50
3.75
6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.
Aston Villa v Burnley: prediction and result
Aston Villa hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Sunday 5 October and won 2–1.
The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Aston Villa, 4.15 for the draw and 6.30 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 61% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 60% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 58%, and blending those with recent form gives 60%. The best price, 1.57 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 1.67. The pick won.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League picks that week →
Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.