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Swindon Town v Notts County prediction

Tue 21 Oct, 19:45 League Two Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Swindon Town to win 45%
Swindon 45% Draw 26% Notts 29%
Best price2.25 bet365 Fair price2.22 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games L
0–4 at ACC
Notts County All games W
1–0 at BNT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 0 of Notts County's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawNotts
bet365 2.25 3.60 2.87
WilliamHill 2.25 3.40 2.90
Ladbrokes 2.20 3.50 3.00
Marathonbet 2.19 3.45 3.00
Betfair 2.10 3.25 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Notts County: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Notts County in the League Two on Tuesday 21 October, and it finished 2–2.

Swindon Town are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 0 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Accrington Stanley.

Notts County are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Barnet.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Swindon, 3.60 for the draw and 3.00 for Notts. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.25 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.22, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.