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Notts County v Cambridge United prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Notts County to win 45%
Notts 45% Draw 28% Cambridge 28%
Best price2.30 Ladbrokes Fair price2.25 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games W D
1–0 at BNT 2–2 at SWI
Cambridge United All games L W
0–2 at SHT 2–1 v BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 0 of Cambridge United's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawCambridge
Ladbrokes 2.30 3.10 3.20
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.25
Betfair 2.30 2.90 2.80
Marathonbet 2.25 3.15 3.15
bet365 2.20 3.30 3.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Cambridge United: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Cambridge United in the League Two on Saturday 25 October and won 2–0.

Notts County are in decent form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 2, 4 points from a possible 6. They have scored 3 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Swindon Town.

Cambridge United are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Bromley.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Notts, 3.30 for the draw and 3.25 for Cambridge. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.30 at Ladbrokes, is longer than our fair price of 2.25, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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2–2 FT Swindon Town v Notts County Swindon Town to win 45% 1–0 FT Cheltenham Town v Walsall Walsall to win 51% 2–1 FT Fleetwood Town v Accrington Stanley Fleetwood Town to win 47% 2–2 FT Barrow v Barnet Barnet to win 48% 0–0 FT Swindon Town v Colchester United Swindon Town to win 46% 0–3 FT Harrogate Town v Newport County Harrogate Town to win 45% 2–2 FT Oldham Athletic v Shrewsbury Town Oldham Athletic to win 44% 4–0 FT Crawley Town v Bristol Rovers Crawley Town to win 40%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.