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Birmingham City v Portsmouth prediction

Sat 1 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 4–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 60%
Birmingham 60% Draw 24% Portsmouth 17%
Best price1.65 Ladbrokes Fair price1.68 from our 60%

How we got to 60%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 62%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 60%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City All games L W L
2–3 v HUL 1–0 at PNE 0–1 at BSC
Portsmouth All games D L L
1–1 at LEI 1–2 v CVC 0–1 v STK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 1 of Birmingham City's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Portsmouth's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBirminghamDrawPortsmouth
Ladbrokes 1.65 3.80 5.25
WilliamHill 1.62 3.60 5.50
Marathonbet 1.60 3.76 5.50
bet365 1.60 4.00 5.50
Betfair 1.57 3.70 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Birmingham City v Portsmouth: prediction and result

Birmingham City hosted Portsmouth in the Championship on Saturday 1 November and won 4–0.

Birmingham City are in mixed form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 3 points from a possible 9. They have scored 3 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Bristol City.

Portsmouth are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 1 points from a possible 9. They have scored 2 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Stoke City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.65 for Birmingham, 4.00 for the draw and 5.50 for Portsmouth. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 60% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 62%, and blending those with recent form gives 60%. The best price, 1.65 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 1.68. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.