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Sheffield United v Derby County prediction

Sat 1 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Sheffield United to win 53%
Sheffield 53% Draw 26% Derby 21%
Best price1.80 Ladbrokes Fair price1.88 from our 53%

How we got to 53%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSheffield United to win 53%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sheffield United All games W W L
1–0 v WAT 3–1 at BBR 2–3 at PNE
Derby County All games L W W
0–1 at OXF 1–0 v NOR 1–0 v QPR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 0 of Sheffield United's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Derby County's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSheffieldDrawDerby
Ladbrokes 1.80 3.40 4.80
WilliamHill 1.80 3.30 4.75
bet365 1.80 3.50 4.50
Marathonbet 1.79 3.40 4.55
Betfair 1.70 3.25 4.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sheffield United v Derby County: prediction and result

Sheffield United hosted Derby County in the Championship on Saturday 1 November, and Derby County won 1–3 away from home.

Sheffield United are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 6 points from a possible 9. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Preston North End.

Derby County are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 6 points from a possible 9. They have scored 2 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Queens Park Rangers.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.80 for Sheffield, 3.50 for the draw and 4.80 for Derby. The bookmakers make Sheffield United favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Sheffield United to win, with a 53% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 53%. The best price, 1.80 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 1.88. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
3–2 FT Wrexham v Coventry City Coventry City to win 43% 0–0 FT West Bromwich Albion v Sheffield Wednesday West Bromwich Albion to win 59% 0–2 FT Leicester City v Blackburn Rovers Leicester City to win 53% 0–2 FT Norwich City v Hull City Norwich City to win 42% 4–0 FT Birmingham City v Portsmouth Birmingham City to win 60% 0–2 FT Southampton v Preston North End Southampton to win 49% 1–1 FT Charlton Athletic v Swansea City Charlton Athletic to win 47% 1–4 FT Queens Park Rangers v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.