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Aston Villa v AFC Bournemouth prediction

Sun 9 Nov, 14:00 Premier League Full time 4–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Aston Villa to win 49%
Aston Villa 49% Draw 26% AFC Bournemouth 25%
Best price2.38 Marathonbet Fair price2.04 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 61%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAston Villa to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Aston Villa All games W W W L
2–1 v BUR 2–1 at TOT 1–0 v MCI 0–2 at LIV
AFC Bournemouth All games D W L
3–3 at CRY 2–0 v NFO 1–3 at MCI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 1 of Aston Villa's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Bournemouth's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAston VillaDrawAFC Bournemouth
Marathonbet 2.38 3.44 3.15
Betfair 2.30 3.40 3.25
bet365 2.30 3.30 3.10
WilliamHill 2.30 3.30 3.00
Ladbrokes 2.25 3.30 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sunday 9 November and won 4–0.

Aston Villa are in strong form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 9 points from a possible 12. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Liverpool.

AFC Bournemouth are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 4 points from a possible 9. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Manchester City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.38 for Aston Villa, 3.44 for the draw and 3.25 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 61%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.38 at Marathonbet, is longer than our fair price of 2.04, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.