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Brentford v Newcastle United prediction

Sun 9 Nov, 14:00 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Newcastle United to win 41%
Brentford 33% Draw 26% Newcastle 41%
Best price2.50 WilliamHill Fair price2.45 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brentford All games L W W L
0–1 v MCI 2–0 at WHU 3–2 v LIV 0–2 at CRY
Newcastle United All games W L W L
2–0 v NFO 1–2 at BHA 2–1 v FUL 1–3 at WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 1 of Brentford's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Newcastle United's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrentfordDrawNewcastle
Marathonbet 3.00 3.54 2.40
bet365 2.90 3.50 2.35
WilliamHill 2.75 3.30 2.50
Ladbrokes 2.75 3.30 2.50
Betfair 2.70 3.25 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brentford v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Brentford hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Sunday 9 November and won 3–1.

Brentford are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 4, 6 points from a possible 12. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Crystal Palace.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 4, 6 points from a possible 12. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at West Ham United.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Brentford, 3.54 for the draw and 2.50 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.50 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.45, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.