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Northampton Town v Cardiff City prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 League One Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 44%
Northampton 29% Draw 26% Cardiff 44%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.25 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L W L L W
1–2 v RTU 2–1 at DNR 0–1 at RDG 0–1 v LUT 2–1 v MAN
Cardiff City All games W L L
2–1 v RDG 0–1 at BOL 1–3 at BLK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Northampton Town's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Cardiff City's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawCardiff
bet365 3.50 3.70 1.95
WilliamHill 3.40 3.40 2.00
Betfair 3.25 3.25 1.95
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Cardiff City: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Cardiff City in the League One on Saturday 22 November, and Cardiff City won 1–3 away from home.

Northampton Town are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Mansfield Town.

Cardiff City are in mixed form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 3 points from a possible 9. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Blackpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.50 for Northampton, 3.70 for the draw and 2.00 for Cardiff. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.25. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.