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Port Vale v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 12:30 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Port Vale to win 48%
Port Vale 48% Draw 26% Plymouth 25%
Best price2.15 WilliamHill Fair price2.07 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePort Vale to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Port Vale All games D L L L D
1–1 at AWM 0–1 at WIG 0–3 v STO 0–4 at BOL 0–0 v WYC
Plymouth Argyle All games L L L L
1–2 v AWM 0–2 at EXE 0–2 at MAN 1–3 at HDD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 0 of Port Vale's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Plymouth Argyle's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPort ValeDrawPlymouth
WilliamHill 2.15 3.25 3.30
bet365 2.10 3.30 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.25 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Port Vale v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

Port Vale hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Saturday 22 November, and Plymouth Argyle won 0–1 away from home.

Port Vale are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Wycombe Wanderers.

Plymouth Argyle are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 4, 0 points from a possible 12. They have scored 2 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Huddersfield Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Port Vale, 3.30 for the draw and 3.50 for Plymouth. The bookmakers make Port Vale favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Port Vale to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 2.15 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.07, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.