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Luton Town v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Sat 29 Nov, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bolton Wanderers to win 37%
Luton 36% Draw 27% Bolton 37%
Best price2.50 WilliamHill Fair price2.67 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games W W D L W
1–0 at NHT 3–0 at STO 0–0 v RTU 0–5 at BRS 2–1 v HDD
Bolton Wanderers All games L W W W D
0–3 at BRA 2–1 at HDD 1–0 v CDF 4–0 v PTV 0–0 v BDC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 1 of Luton Town's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Bolton Wanderers's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawBolton
bet365 2.70 3.40 2.45
WilliamHill 2.62 3.25 2.50
Betfair 2.60 3.25 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Saturday 29 November, and it finished 1–1.

Luton Town are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Huddersfield Town.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Bradford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Luton, 3.40 for the draw and 2.50 for Bolton. The bookmakers see little between Bolton Wanderers and Luton Town here.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.50 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.67. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.