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Wigan Athletic v Burton Albion prediction

Tue 2 Dec, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Wigan Athletic to win 49%
Wigan 49% Draw 28% Burton 23%
Best price1.73 WilliamHill Fair price2.03 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWigan Athletic to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wigan Athletic All games W D D W D
1–0 v PTV 1–1 at MAN 1–1 at EXE 2–1 at AWM 0–0 v STV
Burton Albion All games W D W W L
1–0 at AWM 2–2 at RTU 2–1 at BDC 1–0 v BLK 0–4 v LEY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 0 of Wigan Athletic's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Burton Albion's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWiganDrawBurton
WilliamHill 1.73 3.40 4.80
bet365 1.70 3.50 5.00
Betfair 1.65 3.25 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wigan Athletic v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Wigan Athletic hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Tuesday 2 December and won 1–0.

Wigan Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Stevenage.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat at home to Leyton Orient.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.73 for Wigan, 3.50 for the draw and 5.00 for Burton. The bookmakers make Wigan Athletic favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Wigan Athletic to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.73 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.03. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.