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Plymouth Argyle v Bradford City prediction

Sat 6 Dec, 12:30 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bradford City to win 38%
Plymouth 35% Draw 27% Bradford 38%
Best price2.50 bet365 Fair price2.65 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBradford City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games L L L W L
0–2 at EXE 0–2 at MAN 1–3 at HDD 1–0 at PTV 0–3 v NHT
Bradford City All games D D L D W
1–1 at STV 0–0 v LNC 1–2 v BRA 0–0 at BOL 1–0 v EXE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 1 of Plymouth Argyle's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Bradford City's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawBradford
Betfair 3.00 3.50 2.10
WilliamHill 2.75 3.30 2.40
bet365 2.70 3.40 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Bradford City: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Bradford City in the League One on Saturday 6 December, and Bradford City won 0–1 away from home.

Plymouth Argyle are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Northampton Town.

Bradford City are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Exeter City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Plymouth, 3.50 for the draw and 2.50 for Bradford. The bookmakers make Bradford City favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bradford City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.50 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.65. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.