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Southampton v West Bromwich Albion prediction

Tue 9 Dec, 19:45 Championship Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 50%
Southampton 50% Draw 25% West Bromwich 25%
Best price1.80 bet365 Fair price2.00 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W W W L W
3–1 v SHF 5–1 at CHA 3–0 v LEI 2–3 at MLW 3–1 v BRC
West Bromwich Albion All games W L D W L
2–1 v OXF 2–3 at CVC 1–1 v BRC 3–2 v SWA 1–3 at QPR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Southampton's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of West Bromwich Albion's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich
bet365 1.80 3.70 4.10
WilliamHill 1.75 3.50 4.00
Betfair 1.70 3.50 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v West Bromwich Albion: prediction and result

Southampton hosted West Bromwich Albion in the Championship on Tuesday 9 December and won 3–2.

Southampton are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 16 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Birmingham City.

West Bromwich Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Queens Park Rangers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.80 for Southampton, 3.70 for the draw and 4.10 for West Bromwich. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.80 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.00. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.