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Swansea City v Portsmouth prediction

Tue 9 Dec, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swansea City to win 49%
Swansea 49% Draw 27% Portsmouth 25%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price2.05 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwansea City to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games L L L L W
1–4 v IPS 0–3 at BSC 1–2 v DRB 2–3 at WBA 2–0 v OXF
Portsmouth All games D L W L L
0–0 v WXH 2–3 at HUL 3–1 v MLW 0–3 at SHU 0–1 v BSC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Swansea City's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Portsmouth's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawPortsmouth
WilliamHill 1.95 3.30 3.80
Betfair 1.95 3.40 3.90
bet365 1.90 3.50 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v Portsmouth: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted Portsmouth in the Championship on Tuesday 9 December and won 1–0.

Swansea City are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Oxford United.

Portsmouth are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Bristol City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Swansea, 3.50 for the draw and 4.00 for Portsmouth. The bookmakers make Swansea City favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swansea City to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.05. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.