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Crewe Alexandra v Newport County prediction

Wed 10 Dec, 19:45 League Two Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crewe Alexandra to win 55%
Crewe 55% Draw 23% Newport 21%
Best price1.57 WilliamHill Fair price1.81 from our 55%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crewe Alexandra All games W W D D L
3–2 v GBT 3–1 v SHT 0–0 at OAT 3–3 v CST 1–2 at CMU
Newport County All games W L L L D
3–0 at HAT 2–4 v WSL 0–1 at SHT 0–3 at OAT 2–2 v BRW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Crewe Alexandra's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Newport County's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCreweDrawNewport
WilliamHill 1.57 4.00 5.00
bet365 1.55 4.00 5.50
Betfair 1.50 4.00 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crewe Alexandra v Newport County: prediction and result

Crewe Alexandra hosted Newport County in the League Two on Wednesday 10 December, and it finished 2–2.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Cambridge United.

Newport County are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Barrow.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Crewe, 4.00 for the draw and 5.50 for Newport. The bookmakers make Crewe Alexandra favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 1.57 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.81. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.