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Grimsby Town v Notts County prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Grimsby Town to win 44%
Grimsby 44% Draw 26% Notts 30%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.25 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGrimsby Town to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Grimsby Town All games D L D L D
2–2 at BRW 0–1 v CST 2–2 at SWI 1–2 v TRR 1–1 at SHT
Notts County All games W D L W W
2–1 at CTT 1–1 v HAT 1–3 v CLU 1–0 at BRR 3–2 v MKD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 2 of Grimsby Town's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGrimsbyDrawNotts
WilliamHill 2.10 3.40 3.20
bet365 2.05 3.60 3.20
Betfair 2.05 3.25 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Grimsby Town v Notts County: prediction and result

Grimsby Town hosted Notts County in the League Two on Saturday 13 December, and Notts County won 0–2 away from home.

Grimsby Town are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Shrewsbury Town.

Notts County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Milton Keynes Dons.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Grimsby, 3.60 for the draw and 3.50 for Notts. The bookmakers make Grimsby Town favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Grimsby Town to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.25. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
0–1 FT Swindon Town v Cheltenham Town Swindon Town to win 64% 4–0 FT Barnet v Bristol Rovers Barnet to win 56% 3–1 FT Bromley v Crawley Town Bromley to win 53% 1–1 FT Cambridge United v Chesterfield Cambridge United to win 47% 0–2 FT Harrogate Town v Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley to win 41% 1–1 FT Shrewsbury Town v Grimsby Town Grimsby Town to win 40% 1–1 FT Fleetwood Town v Salford City Salford City to win 40% 3–2 FT Notts County v Milton Keynes Dons Notts County to win 37%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.