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Newport County v Fleetwood Town prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Fleetwood Town to win 43%
Newport 31% Draw 26% Fleetwood 43%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.35 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceFleetwood Town to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games L L L D D
2–4 v WSL 0–1 at SHT 0–3 at OAT 2–2 v BRW 2–2 at CAX
Fleetwood Town All games L D W L D
1–2 at CRT 1–1 v SWI 3–1 v SHT 1–2 at MKD 1–1 v SAL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Newport County's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Fleetwood Town's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawFleetwood
bet365 3.00 3.40 2.25
WilliamHill 2.90 3.30 2.30
Betfair 2.80 3.25 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Fleetwood Town: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Fleetwood Town in the League Two on Saturday 13 December, and Fleetwood Town won 0–2 away from home.

Newport County are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Crewe Alexandra.

Fleetwood Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Salford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Newport, 3.40 for the draw and 2.30 for Fleetwood. The bookmakers make Fleetwood Town favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Fleetwood Town to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.35. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.