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Luton Town v Stevenage prediction

Sat 10 Jan, 12:30 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Luton Town to win 50%
Luton 50% Draw 28% Stevenage 22%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.01 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games D L W W L
2–2 v PTV 2–3 at RDG 4–0 v WYC 3–0 v LEY 0–1 at EXE
Stevenage All games W D D L D
3–1 at STO 2–2 v BRA 0–0 at AWM 1–2 at CDF 1–1 v PLA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes44% Both teams scored in 3 of Luton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Stevenage's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawStevenage
WilliamHill 1.91 3.00 4.00
bet365 1.90 3.10 4.33
Betfair 1.87 3.20 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Stevenage: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Stevenage in the League One on Saturday 10 January and won 2–1.

Luton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Exeter City.

Stevenage are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Plymouth Argyle.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.91 for Luton, 3.20 for the draw and 4.33 for Stevenage. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.01. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.