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Peterborough United v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Sat 10 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bolton Wanderers to win 41%
Peterborough 34% Draw 25% Bolton 41%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.45 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Peterborough United All games W W D W L
1–0 at PTV 1–0 v LEY 1–1 v RDG 2–0 at RTU 2–5 at LNC
Bolton Wanderers All games L W L D D
1–2 at WYC 2–1 v RTU 0–1 v MAN 1–1 at DNR 0–0 v NHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Peterborough United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPeterboroughDrawBolton
bet365 3.00 3.75 2.15
WilliamHill 2.90 3.40 2.20
Betfair 2.90 3.60 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Peterborough United v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Peterborough United hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Saturday 10 January and won 3–1.

Peterborough United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–5 defeat away at Lincoln City.

Bolton Wanderers are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Northampton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Peterborough, 3.75 for the draw and 2.20 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.45. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.