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AFC Wimbledon v Doncaster Rovers prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Wimbledon to win 38%
AFC Wimbledon 38% Draw 27% Doncaster 35%
Best price2.62 WilliamHill Fair price2.63 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Wimbledon to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games L D L W L
1–3 at NHT 0–0 v STV 0–1 v EXE 3–1 at LEY 0–2 at WYC
Doncaster Rovers All games L L L L D
3–4 at CDF 1–5 v PLA 0–1 at BLK 2–4 at STO 1–1 v BOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Doncaster Rovers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawDoncaster
WilliamHill 2.62 3.25 2.50
bet365 2.62 3.30 2.55
Betfair 2.60 3.30 2.55
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Doncaster Rovers: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Doncaster Rovers in the League One on Saturday 17 January, and Doncaster Rovers won 0–1 away from home.

AFC Wimbledon are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Wycombe Wanderers.

Doncaster Rovers are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 15 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Bolton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.62 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.30 for the draw and 2.55 for Doncaster. The bookmakers see little between Doncaster Rovers and AFC Wimbledon here.

Our prediction: AFC Wimbledon to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.63. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.