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Wigan Athletic v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 12:30 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bolton Wanderers to win 41%
Wigan 31% Draw 28% Bolton 41%
Best price2.15 WilliamHill Fair price2.43 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wigan Athletic All games L L W D L
0–2 v BLK 1–2 at BDC 2–0 at BRA 1–1 v BRS 0–1 at CDF
Bolton Wanderers All games W L D D L
2–1 v RTU 0–1 v MAN 1–1 at DNR 0–0 v NHT 1–3 at PTU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 1 of Wigan Athletic's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWiganDrawBolton
bet365 3.30 3.30 2.15
WilliamHill 3.25 3.20 2.15
Betfair 3.25 3.25 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wigan Athletic v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Wigan Athletic hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Saturday 17 January, and Bolton Wanderers won 0–1 away from home.

Wigan Athletic are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Cardiff City.

Bolton Wanderers are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Peterborough United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.30 for Wigan, 3.30 for the draw and 2.15 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.15 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.43. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.