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Exeter City v Stevenage prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Exeter City to win 39%
Exeter 39% Draw 30% Stevenage 31%
Best price2.50 Betfair Fair price2.56 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceExeter City to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games W L W W D
3–0 v BRS 0–1 at CDF 1–0 at AWM 1–0 v LUT 2–2 at HDD
Stevenage All games D D L D L
2–2 v BRA 0–0 at AWM 1–2 at CDF 1–1 v PLA 1–2 at LUT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 2 of Exeter City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Stevenage's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawStevenage
Betfair 2.50 2.90 2.90
WilliamHill 2.45 3.00 2.90
bet365 2.45 3.00 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v Stevenage: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted Stevenage in the League One on Saturday 17 January and won 3–0.

Exeter City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Huddersfield Town.

Stevenage are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Luton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Exeter, 3.00 for the draw and 3.00 for Stevenage. The bookmakers make Exeter City favourites, at about 38% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Exeter City to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.50 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.56. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.