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Luton Town v Lincoln City prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 42%
Luton 42% Draw 28% Lincoln 30%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games L W W L W
2–3 at RDG 4–0 v WYC 3–0 v LEY 0–1 at EXE 2–1 v STV
Lincoln City All games W W W D W
2–1 v CDF 2–1 at STO 2–0 at BRS 1–1 v HDD 5–2 v PTU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Luton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Lincoln City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawLincoln
WilliamHill 2.40 3.00 2.90
Betfair 2.38 3.10 2.90
bet365 2.30 2.90 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Lincoln City: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Lincoln City in the League One on Saturday 17 January, and it finished 2–2.

Luton Town are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Stevenage.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 5–2 win at home to Peterborough United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Luton, 3.10 for the draw and 3.00 for Lincoln. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.37, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.