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Southampton v Sheffield United prediction

Wed 21 Jan, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 43%
Southampton 43% Draw 25% Sheffield 32%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.30 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games L D D L L
1–2 at OXF 1–1 at BRC 0–0 v MLW 0–4 at MID 1–2 v HUL
Sheffield United All games W L W W L
3–0 v BRC 3–5 at WXH 2–1 at STK 3–1 v LEI 0–1 at CHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Sheffield United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawSheffield
WilliamHill 2.10 3.60 3.00
Betfair 2.10 3.60 3.25
bet365 2.10 3.90 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Sheffield United: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Sheffield United in the Championship on Wednesday 21 January and won 1–0.

Southampton are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Hull City.

Sheffield United are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Charlton Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Southampton, 3.90 for the draw and 3.25 for Sheffield. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.30. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
0–2 FT Sheffield Wednesday v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 63% 2–0 FT Ipswich Town v Bristol City Ipswich Town to win 58% 2–1 FT Coventry City v Millwall Coventry City to win 53% 3–1 FT Swansea City v Blackburn Rovers Swansea City to win 48% 0–5 FT West Bromwich Albion v Norwich City West Bromwich Albion to win 47% 0–3 FT Preston North End v Hull City Preston North End to win 40% 0–0 FT Oxford United v Queens Park Rangers Oxford United to win 37% 1–2 FT Charlton Athletic v Derby County Charlton Athletic to win 37%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.