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Watford v Portsmouth prediction

Wed 21 Jan, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Watford to win 53%
Watford 53% Draw 26% Portsmouth 21%
Best price1.83 bet365 Fair price1.88 from our 53%

How we got to 53%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWatford to win 53%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Watford All games W W W W L
1–0 v STK 2–1 at LEI 1–0 at NOR 3–0 v BRC 0–2 v MLW
Portsmouth All games D D W L W
1–1 at DRB 1–1 v QPR 2–1 v CHA 0–5 at BSC 1–0 at SHF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Watford's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Portsmouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWatfordDrawPortsmouth
bet365 1.83 3.60 4.33
WilliamHill 1.80 3.40 4.20
Betfair 1.80 3.50 4.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Watford v Portsmouth: prediction and result

Watford hosted Portsmouth in the Championship on Wednesday 21 January, and it finished 1–1.

Watford are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Millwall.

Portsmouth are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Sheffield Wednesday.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Watford, 3.60 for the draw and 4.60 for Portsmouth. The bookmakers make Watford favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Watford to win, with a 53% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 53%. The best price, 1.83 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.88. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.