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Derby County v West Bromwich Albion prediction

Fri 23 Jan, 20:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Derby County to win 36%
Derby 36% Draw 29% West Bromwich 36%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.80 from our 36%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games L W L W W
1–2 at LEI 1–0 v MID 1–2 v WXH 1–0 at PNE 2–1 at CHA
West Bromwich Albion All games W L L L L
2–1 v QPR 0–1 at SWA 1–2 at LEI 2–3 v MID 0–5 v NOR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 5 of Derby County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of West Bromwich Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawWest Bromwich
bet365 2.70 3.20 2.62
WilliamHill 2.62 3.10 2.62
Betfair 2.60 3.10 2.63
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v West Bromwich Albion: prediction and result

Derby County hosted West Bromwich Albion in the Championship on Friday 23 January, and it finished 1–1.

Derby County are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Charlton Athletic.

West Bromwich Albion are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 0–5 defeat at home to Norwich City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Derby, 3.20 for the draw and 2.63 for West Bromwich. The bookmakers see little between West Bromwich Albion and Derby County here.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.80. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.