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Birmingham City v Stoke City prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Birmingham City to win 55%
Birmingham 55% Draw 25% Stoke 19%
Best price1.83 Betfair Fair price1.81 from our 55%

How we got to 55%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 61%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City All games D L W D W
1–1 v SOU 0–3 at WAT 3–2 v CVC 1–1 at SWA 2–0 at SHF
Stoke City All games L W W D L
1–2 v SHU 1–0 at HUL 2–0 at NOR 0–0 v QPR 1–2 v MID

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 6 of Birmingham City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBirminghamDrawStoke
Betfair 1.83 3.25 4.50
bet365 1.80 3.70 4.10
WilliamHill 1.75 3.60 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Birmingham City v Stoke City: prediction and result

Birmingham City hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 24 January, and it finished 1–1.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Sheffield Wednesday.

Stoke City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Middlesbrough.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Birmingham, 3.70 for the draw and 4.50 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 61%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 1.83 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.