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Milton Keynes Dons v Shrewsbury Town prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 5–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Milton Keynes Dons to win 62%
Milton Keynes 62% Draw 23% Shrewsbury 15%
Best price1.44 WilliamHill Fair price1.62 from our 62%

How we got to 62%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 65%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 62%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Milton Keynes Dons All games W D L D W
1–0 v SWI 1–1 v NOT 0–1 at CLU 2–2 v CST 2–0 at ACC
Shrewsbury Town All games L L L L W
0–1 v CST 1–3 at CTT 0–1 at GBT 0–3 v BRR 1–0 v HAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Shrewsbury Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMilton KeynesDrawShrewsbury
WilliamHill 1.44 4.00 6.50
bet365 1.42 4.20 7.50
Betfair 1.40 4.20 7.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Milton Keynes Dons v Shrewsbury Town: prediction and result

Milton Keynes Dons hosted Shrewsbury Town in the League Two on Saturday 24 January and won 5–1.

Milton Keynes Dons are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Accrington Stanley.

Shrewsbury Town are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Harrogate Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.44 for Milton Keynes, 4.20 for the draw and 7.50 for Shrewsbury. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 65% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 62% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 62%. The best price, 1.44 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.62. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.