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Notts County v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 12:30 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Notts County to win 45%
Notts 45% Draw 26% Crewe 29%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.21 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games D L D L W
0–0 v WSL 0–2 at CST 1–1 at MKD 0–1 v ACC 2–1 at CRT
Crewe Alexandra All games L L W D W
0–1 at WSL 0–2 at NPT 4–1 v CTT 1–1 v HAT 3–1 v BRW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Notts County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawCrewe
WilliamHill 2.00 3.30 3.50
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.75
bet365 1.95 3.50 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Saturday 24 January and won 1–0.

Notts County are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Crawley Town.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Barrow.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Notts, 3.50 for the draw and 3.75 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.21. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.