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Portsmouth v Southampton prediction

Sun 25 Jan, 12:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 44%
Portsmouth 30% Draw 26% Southampton 44%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.29 from our 44%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games D W L W D
1–1 v QPR 2–1 v CHA 0–5 at BSC 1–0 at SHF 1–1 at WAT
Southampton All games D D L L W
1–1 at BRC 0–0 v MLW 0–4 at MID 1–2 v HUL 1–0 v SHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 4 of Portsmouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Southampton's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawSouthampton
WilliamHill 3.30 3.30 2.10
Betfair 3.30 3.30 2.00
bet365 3.20 3.50 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Southampton: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Southampton in the Championship on Sunday 25 January, and it finished 1–1.

Portsmouth are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Watford.

Southampton are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Sheffield United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.30 for Portsmouth, 3.50 for the draw and 2.10 for Southampton. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.29. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.