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Milton Keynes Dons v Bristol Rovers prediction

Tue 27 Jan, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Milton Keynes Dons to win 57%
Milton Keynes 57% Draw 23% Bristol 20%
Best price1.55 WilliamHill Fair price1.76 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 60%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Milton Keynes Dons All games D L D W W
1–1 v NOT 0–1 at CLU 2–2 v CST 2–0 at ACC 5–1 v SHT
Bristol Rovers All games L L W L L
2–3 v BMY 0–2 v BNT 3–0 at SHT 0–1 v CLU 0–1 at SAL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 5 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMilton KeynesDrawBristol
WilliamHill 1.55 3.90 5.00
bet365 1.55 4.00 5.75
Betfair 1.53 4.20 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Milton Keynes Dons v Bristol Rovers: prediction and result

Milton Keynes Dons hosted Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Tuesday 27 January and won 1–0.

Milton Keynes Dons are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 5–1 win at home to Shrewsbury Town.

Bristol Rovers are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Salford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.55 for Milton Keynes, 4.20 for the draw and 6.00 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 61% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 60% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.55 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.76. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.