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Newport County v Accrington Stanley prediction

Tue 27 Jan, 19:30 League Two Full time 1–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Accrington Stanley to win 40%
Newport 32% Draw 28% Accrington 40%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.49 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAccrington Stanley to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games D W L L W
0–0 v BNT 2–0 v CAX 1–2 at BMY 2–3 at GLG 2–1 v CST
Accrington Stanley All games W W W L D
2–1 v BRW 1–0 v HAT 1–0 at NOT 0–2 v MKD 0–0 at WSL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 3 of Newport County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawAccrington
Betfair 3.20 3.20 2.30
bet365 3.10 3.10 2.30
WilliamHill 2.90 3.10 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Accrington Stanley: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Accrington Stanley in the League Two on Tuesday 27 January, and Accrington Stanley won 1–4 away from home.

Newport County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Chesterfield.

Accrington Stanley are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Walsall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Newport, 3.20 for the draw and 2.30 for Accrington. The bookmakers make Accrington Stanley favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Accrington Stanley to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.49. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.