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Reading v Exeter City prediction

Tue 27 Jan, 20:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Reading to win 45%
Reading 45% Draw 27% Exeter 28%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.22 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceReading to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games D W W L D
1–1 at PTU 2–0 v BRA 1–0 v STO 1–3 at LEY 2–2 v BRS
Exeter City All games W W D W W
1–0 at AWM 1–0 v LUT 2–2 at HDD 3–0 v STV 3–1 at PTV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 4 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Exeter City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawExeter
bet365 2.15 3.30 3.50
WilliamHill 2.10 3.25 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Exeter City: prediction and result

Reading hosted Exeter City in the League One on Tuesday 27 January, and it finished 2–2.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Barnsley.

Exeter City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Port Vale.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Reading, 3.30 for the draw and 3.50 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Reading favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Reading to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.22. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.